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The Future of Organic Agriculture: Otopia or Oblivion?

Paull, John (2010) The Future of Organic Agriculture: Otopia or Oblivion? Innovative Science Editions, 1, pp. 11-14.

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Organic agriculture could feed the world, but will it? A state of Otopia, an organic Utopia of 100% organic food and organic agriculture, is a dream, or is it a pipe-dream? And if a dream, might it manifest in four decades or 54 decades? The stated goal of the organic movement is the adoption worldwide of organic agriculture. That task has a long path to travel, with organic agriculture currently accounting for 0.8% of agricultural land worldwide. Two roads to Otopia are extrapolated from the rate of growth of global organics exhibited over the past decade. If an arithmetic rate of growth - think simple interest - continued indefinitely then a state of Otopia would take 544 years (2553). Under a geometric growth scenario - think compound interest - Otopia would be reached in 39 years (2048).

EPrint Type:Journal paper
Keywords:organic agriculture, organic farming, rate of growth, future, scenario, statistic, goals.
Subjects:"Organics" in general
Food systems
"Organics" in general > Countries and regions > World
"Organics" in general > History of organics
Research affiliation:Australia > Australian National University
Deposited By: Paull, Dr John
ID Code:17060
Deposited On:10 May 2010 08:11
Last Modified:10 May 2010 08:11
Document Language:English
Refereed:Not peer-reviewed

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