Schmid, Erwin; Sinabell, Franz and Stürmer, Bernhard (2009) Analyse von Auswirkungen verschiedener Optionen einer GAP nach 2013 auf biologisch wirtschaftende Betriebe in Österreich. Paper at: 10. Wissenschaftstagung Ökologischer Landbau, Zürich, 11.-13. Februar 2009.
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Summary
The aim of this study is to analyze alternative options of a Common Agricultural Policy
(CAP) after 2013 and their consequences for farms in Austria. Projections about the
development of agricultural markets are based on OECD-FAO forecasts. Using these
price projections, three alternative policy scenarios have been developed for a period
beyond 2013, which are compared with a baseline scenario. The three policy scenarios
encompass different assumptions on specific measures in the dairy sector and
higher modulation (13% versus the existing rate of 5%) as well as budget cuts in the
first pillar of CAP of 30% and 50%, respectively. All the scenarios have been analyzed
with the farm optimization system FAMOS, which differentiates among 5.796 typical
farms in Austria. FAMOS has been expanded and considers now the law of diminishing
costs and labor requirements with respect to farm size. Model results are presented
for organic and conventional farms by means of frequency distributions on percentage
changes in total gross margins. The results clearly indicate that uniform policy
changes can affect farms quite differently. There are winners and losers, which have
been identified according to farm characteristics.
EPrint Type: | Conference paper, poster, etc. |
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Type of presentation: | Paper |
Subjects: | Food systems > Policy environments and social economy |
Research affiliation: | International Conferences > 2009: Scientific Conference on Organic Agriculture > Sozioökonomie > Agrarpolitik |
Related Links: | http://www.wissenschaftstagung.de/, http://www.verlag-koester.de/buch.php?id=645&start=0&fb_id=37 |
Deposited By: | Sanders, Jürn |
ID Code: | 14314 |
Deposited On: | 15 Apr 2009 |
Last Modified: | 12 Apr 2010 07:37 |
Document Language: | German/Deutsch |
Status: | Published |
Refereed: | Peer-reviewed and accepted |
Additional Publishing Information: | Dieser Beitrag ist im Tagungsband der 10. Wissenschaftagung erschienen: Mayer, J.; Alföldi, T.; Leiber, F.; Dubois, D.; Fried, P.; Heckendorn, F.; Hillmann, E.; Klocke, P.; Lüscher, A.; Riedel, S.; Stolze, M.; Strasser, F.; van der Heijden, M. and Willer, H., (Hrsg.) (2009) Werte – Wege – Wirkungen: Biolandbau im Spannungsfeld zwischen Ernährungssicherung, Markt und Klimawandel. Beiträge zur 10. Wissenschaftstagung Ökologischer Landbau, Zürich, 11.-13. Februar 2009. Band 1: Boden, Pflanzenbau, Agrartechnik, Umwelt- und Naturschutz, Biolandbau international, Wissensmanagement Band 2: Tierhaltung, Agrarpolitik und Betriebswirtschaft, Märkte und Lebensmittel. Verlag Dr. Köster, Berlin. Der Tagungsband kann beim Verlag Dr. Köster bezogen werden; siehe http://www.verlag-koester.de/buch.php?id=645&start=0&fb_id=37 |
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