creators_name: Rosegrant, Mark W.
creators_name: Sulser, Timothy B.
creators_name: Halberg, Niels
type: conference_item
datestamp: 2006-05-09
lastmod: 2009-09-09 13:40:09
metadata_visibility: show
title: ORGANIC AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITY
ispublished: pub
subjects: 2security
subjects: 5markets
subjects: 4social
full_text_status: public
abstract: Modelling the impacts of organic production up-scaled to regional and global levels gives an initial quan-tification of the potential extent of changes that large-scale conversion might induce. Optimistic estimates of change with respect to organic yield potential lead to modest impacts on global commodity prices, production, and trade. Conversion in high-input regions in Europe and North America to certified organic decreases production and increases commodity prices. Hunger in this scenario slightly worsens. Transition of low-input areas in Sub-Saharan Africa to non-certified organic leads to in-creased production and decreased prices. Food secu-rity improves slightly in this scenario. The switch for low-input regions helps decrease trade dependency in some commodities. Achievement of productivity levels in these scenarios is dependent on many factors that introduce a significant amount of uncertainty in the results. The extent of these impacts can be improved if concerted effort in research and development for yield and productivity enhancement is supported. 
date: 2006
date_type: published
refereed: never
citation: Rosegrant, Dr. Mark W.; Sulser, Mr. Timothy B. and Halberg, Dr. Niels (2006) ORGANIC AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITY. Joint Organic Congress, Odense, Denmark, May 30-31, 2006.
document_url: http://orgprints.org/8302/1/Organic_Conference_Paper_Rosegrant_et_al.pdf