{
  "eprintid": "8071",
  "rev_number": "1",
  "eprint_status": "archive",
  "userid": "348",
  "dir": "disk0/00/00/80/71",
  "datestamp": "2006-04-07",
  "lastmod": "2009-08-20 14:31:45",
  "status_changed": "2009-08-20 14:31:45",
  "type": "journalp",
  "metadata_visibility": "show",
  "item_issues_count": "0",
  "doclang": "en",
  "projects": [
    "uk-aberystwyth",
    "omiard"
  ],
  "refereed": "yes",
  "budget": "0",
  "docurl": "http://www.emeraldinsight.com/Insight/viewContentItem.do?contentType=Article&contentId=1514927",
  "altloc": [
    "http://www.irs.aber.ac.uk/omiard/index.html"
  ],
  "publicfulltext": "FALSE",
  "creators": [
    {
      "name": {
        "family": "Padel",
        "given": "Susanne"
      },
      "id": "348"
    },
    {
      "name": {
        "family": "Midmore",
        "given": "Peter"
      },
      "id": ""
    }
  ],
  "title": "The Development Of The European Market For Organic Products: Insights From A Delphi Study",
  "ispublished": "pub",
  "subjects": [
    "5markets"
  ],
  "keywords": "Organic food, market development, DELPHI method, UWA",
  "abstract": "The purpose of the paper is present experiences using a well established forecasting tool, the Delphi- method, to explore the dynamics of, and prospects for the development of the market for organic food in Europe. DELPHI, developed by the Rand co-operation to improve military technology forecasting, uses expert feedback to refine an informed perspective on complex or uncertain issues. This study used experts of the organic food market in 18 countries to explore factors influencing the development of the organic market; future market prospects, and the role of governments in future market development. The results show that short supply chains and focus on regional organic shops may be an indication of an earlier stage of market development, likely to be followed by integration into mainstream outlets and involvement of multiple retailers. It is concluded that the mutual but mismatched interdependence of demand and supply acts as a constraint to the overall development. Policy intervention should not only take the specific local conditions but also the stage of market development into account.",
  "date": "2005",
  "date_type": "published",
  "publication": "British Food Journal",
  "volume": "107",
  "number": "8",
  "publisher": "Emerald",
  "editors": [
    {
      "name": {
        "family": "McEachern",
        "given": "Morven"
      },
      "id": ""
    },
    {
      "name": {
        "family": "Seamann",
        "given": "Claire"
      },
      "id": ""
    }
  ],
  "referencetext": "Blank, S.C. and G.D. Thompson (2004). Can/should/will a niche become the norm? Organic agriculture's short past and long future. Contemporary Economic Policy, 22(4), 483-503. Commission of the European Communities (2004): European Action Plan for Organic Food and Farming. COM (2004) 415 final, Brussels, CEC. Critcher C. and B. Gladstone (1998): Utilising the Delphi technique in policy discussion: a case study of a privatised utility in Britain. Public Administration, 76(3), 431-449. Cyphert, F.R. and W.L. Gant (1971): The Delphi technique: a case study. Phi Delta Kappan. 52(5), 272-273. Delbecq, A.L., A.H. Van de Ven, and D.H. Gustafson. 1986. Group techniques for program planning: A guide to nominal group and Delphi processes. Middleton, Wisconsin: Green Briar Press. Hamm, U. and F. Gronefeld (2004): The European Market for Organic Food: Revised and Updated Analysis. Organic Marketing Initiatives and Rural Development, Vol. 5, University of Wales Aberystwyth (School of Management and Business). Harper, G.C. and A. Makatouni, (2002): Consumer perception of organic food production and farm animal welfare. British Food Journal, 104(3-5), 287-299. Jones, E. (1989): Reading the Book of Nature. Columbus: Ohio University Press. Lafourcade, B. and P. Chapuy (2000): Scenarios and actors’ strategies: the case of the agri-foodstuff sector. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 65(1), 67-80. Lampkin, N. H., C. Foster, S. Padel and P. Midmore (1999): The policy and regulatory environment for organic farming in Europe. Organic Farming in Europe: Economics and Policy, vol. 1, University of Hohenheim. Leach, J., H. Mercer, G. Stew and S. Denyer (2001): Improving food hygiene standards - a customer focused approach. British Food Journal, 103(4), 238-252. Linstone, H.A. and Turoff, M. (eds.) (1975). The Delphi method: techniques and applications. Reading, Mass.: Addison-Wesley. Lotter, D.W. (2003). Organic agriculture. Journal of Sustainable Agriculture, 21(4), 59-128. Michelsen, J., U. Hamm, E. Wynen, and E. Roth (1999): The European Market for Organic Products: Growth and Development. Organic Farming in Europe: Economics and Policy, vol. 7, University of Hohenheim. Mullen, P. M. (2000): When is Delphi not Delphi? Discussion paper 37, Health Services Management Centre, University of Birmingham. Padel, C, Seymour, C, & Foster, C (2003) SWP 5.1: Report of all three rounds of the Delphi Inquiry on the European Market for Organic Food. IN QLK5-2000-01124, O. M. I. A. R. D. (Ed.), University of Wales Aberystwyth. Phillips, J.L. (1996): How to think about statistics. New York: Freeman and Company. Powell, C. (2003): The Delphi technique: myths and realities. Journal of Advanced Nursing, 41(4), 376-382. Quigley, B. A. and Kuhne, G. W. (eds.) (1997): Creating Practical Knowledge Through Action Research. San Fransisco: Jossey Bass. Richards, L. (1999): Using NVivo in qualitative research. London: Sage Publications. Sackman, H. (1975): Delphi critique: expert opinion, forecasting, and group process. Lexington: Lexington Books. Scheibe, M. 1975. Experiments in Delphi methodology. In The Delphi method: Techniques and applications, ed. H.A. Linstone and M. Turoff, 262-82. Reading: Addison-Wesley. Schmid, O., J. Sanders and P. Midmore (2004): Organic Marketing Initiatives and Rural Development. Organic Marketing Initiatives and Rural Development Report Series, Volume 7, University of Wales Aberystwyth (School of Management and Business). Smith, E. and T Marsden (2004), Exploring the 'limits to growth' in UK organics: beyond the statistical image. Journal of Rural Studies 20:345-357. Tichy, G. (2004): The over-optimism among experts in assessment and foresight. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 71(4), 341-363. Tigelaar, D.E.H.., D.H.J.M. Dolmans, I.H.A.P. Wolfhagen and C.P.M. Van der Vleuten (2004): The development and validation of a framework for teaching competencies in higher education. Higher Education, 48(2), 253-268. Turoff, M. (1975): The policy Delphi. In: The Delphi method: Techniques and applications, ed. H.A. Linstone and M. Turoff, Reading: Addison-Wesley, 84-101.",
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