8302: ORGANIC AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITY
(2006) ORGANIC AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITY. Paper presented at Joint Organic Congress, Odense, Denmark, May 30-31, 2006..
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Summary
Modelling the impacts of organic production up-scaled to regional and global levels gives an initial quan-tification of the potential extent of changes that large-scale conversion might induce. Optimistic estimates of change with respect to organic yield potential lead to modest impacts on global commodity prices, production, and trade. Conversion in high-input regions in Europe and North America to certified organic decreases production and increases commodity prices. Hunger in this scenario slightly worsens. Transition of low-input areas in Sub-Saharan Africa to non-certified organic leads to in-creased production and decreased prices. Food secu-rity improves slightly in this scenario. The switch for low-input regions helps decrease trade dependency in some commodities. Achievement of productivity levels in these scenarios is dependent on many factors that introduce a significant amount of uncertainty in the results. The extent of these impacts can be improved if concerted effort in research and development for yield and productivity enhancement is supported.
| Document Language: | English |
|---|---|
| Subject Areas: | Food systems > Food security, food quality and human health Food systems > Markets and trade Farming Systems > Social aspects |
| Research affiliation: | International Conferences > Joint Organic Congress 2006 > Plenum |
| Total budget (Euro): | 0 |
| Orgprints ID Number: | 8302 |
| Contact: | Rosegrant, Dr Mark |
| Deposited On: | 09 May 2006 |
| EPrint Type: | Submit a paper or a poster to a conference |
| Published?: | Published |
| Type of presentation: | Paper |
| Peer Review Status: | Not peer-reviewed |
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