Rosegrant, Dr. Mark W.; Sulser, Mr. Timothy B. and Halberg, Dr. Niels (2006) ORGANIC AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITY. Paper at: Joint Organic Congress, Odense, Denmark, May 30-31, 2006.
Modelling the impacts of organic production up-scaled to regional and global levels gives an initial quan-tification of the potential extent of changes that large-scale conversion might induce. Optimistic estimates of change with respect to organic yield potential lead to modest impacts on global commodity prices, production, and trade. Conversion in high-input regions in Europe and North America to certified organic decreases production and increases commodity prices. Hunger in this scenario slightly worsens. Transition of low-input areas in Sub-Saharan Africa to non-certified organic leads to in-creased production and decreased prices. Food secu-rity improves slightly in this scenario. The switch for low-input regions helps decrease trade dependency in some commodities. Achievement of productivity levels in these scenarios is dependent on many factors that introduce a significant amount of uncertainty in the results. The extent of these impacts can be improved if concerted effort in research and development for yield and productivity enhancement is supported.
|EPrint Type:||Conference paper, poster, etc.|
|Type of presentation:||Paper|
|Subjects:|| Food systems > Food security, food quality and human health|
Food systems > Markets and trade
Farming Systems > Social aspects
|Research affiliation:||International Conferences > 2006: Joint Organic Congress > Plenum|
|Deposited By:||Rosegrant, Dr Mark|
|Deposited On:||09 May 2006|
|Last Modified:||12 Apr 2010 07:33|
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